Tuesday, August 28, 2012

S&P/Case-Shiller: June 2012

Note... be sure to bookmark the overall S&P/Case-Shiller Dashboard or the Scary Housing Dashboard of the weakest markets for a real-time view of all the markets tracked by S&P.

The latest release of the S&P/Case-Shiller (CSI) home price indices for June reported that the non-seasonally adjusted Composite-10 price index increased 2.18% since May while the Composite-20 index increased 2.33% over the same period.

The latest CSI data clearly indicates that the price trends are experiencing an uptrend through the typically more active spring-summer season and as I recently pointed out, the more timely and less distorted Radar Logic RPX data is continuing to capture notable rising prices driven primarily by seasonality.

The 10-city composite index increased 0.10% as compared to June 2011 while the 20-city composite increased 0.50% over the same period.

Both of the broad composite indices show significant peak declines slumping -31.49% for the 10-city national index and -31.14% for the 20-city national index on a peak comparison basis.

To better visualize today’s results use Blytic.com to view the full release.

Monday, August 27, 2012

I'm Back!

I'm back and while I wasn't inspired to blog while away in France, I'm ready to fire up the econ data posts and possibly throw in a few new creative posts from time to time.

Looks like the overall economic picture hasn't changed much this summer... unchanged unemployment rate, tepid Q2 GDP, falling June existing home sales, etc... though I have yet to really digest all the data series in detail to fully absorb the latest trends.

One thing I can say with certainty though... home sales activity has peaked for the year as the seasonal factors (lower demand for single family homes post-summer heading into new school year) begin to sink in resulting in reduced sales until mid-November where sales will dramatically slow until the beginning of the next selling season in the Spring of 2013.

Tomorrow's S&P/Case-Shiller home price index should continue to capture generally rising prices, a trend that is likely to remain until the slower Fall and Winter sales begin to influence the data.


Back in Action!!

Hellllooooooooooo :)

I am SOO excited to be typing right now, you have no idea how much I have missed blogging!

Two MONTHS! :( So sad.

I realized I needed to get back to blogging when random people have started emailing me with emails like "Are you still alive?" ... "Are you ok?" ... "Did something happen?" hahaaha so sweet ... thank you for the concerns ... everywhere I go people have said they have missed the bloggy and it made me so sad, but I honestly have been so busy with so many things (we will get to that later ha!) .. and I kind of needed a privacy break for a minute too ... you know sometimes you just feel like you want to keep some things private and enjoy them for a minute? Well that's how I felt. Ha.

OK so many things have happened in the past 2 months I need to share....but first the BIG news ... for those of you who are very keen you might have noticed something new with the blog ;)
Yes the page is wider (thank you PLL), yes I have a Pinterest button now (needed that for a long time, thank you again PLL ha!) .. but my Dana girl has a new accessory ... on her left ring finger ... :) check her out!!

Surprise...
WE'RE ENGAGED!!!!!

On July 4th while in Florida I said YES when this sweet man popped the question! :)


It was so sweet and perfect! I was totally shocked!
He did a good job of keeping it a secret lol only like two people knew, one being my dad and he never let on at ALL like he was keeping a secret!!

My ring literally could not be more perfect or beautiful. It is exactly what I wanted, he did such a good job! :)


Sooo pretty :) In love with it! Literally couldn't stop staring at it for like a week straight ha.

We spent the next few days in Florida with my brother and his girlfriend and my dad... it was a blast!

As soon as we got home we told the kids, and they were just as excited as I knew they would be!
They literally were screaming and jumping up and down haha it was so cute!

I knew immediately that we wanted to make them feel like they are a very special part of the day... so thanks to Pinterest I got the cute idea to make them these ...


How cute?

Adorable!!

I was so excited to give them to them ha and they were just as excited to get them! :) 

Next ...
I was off to buy magazines faster than you would believe!


Then I ordered these super cute Thank You cards from Etsy to start sending to all the sweet friends who sent us stuff :)
 Find the cards on Etsy here

And then next on the agenda was to ask my Matron of Honor ... which was never a question (even though I love all my friends equally of course ha!) .. but Chrissy has been my best friend since 5th grade. We lived together during college, have always been there for each other, her son is my Godson, Connor (who I've only probably posted a million pictures of ha) ... so of course she will be the one to stand next to me on our special day <3


How cute is that?
I made this for her ... even found a picture from the 8th grade and all ha! :)
So excited!!

So far the wedding stuff has been going great!
I have an amazing wedding planner, Ginny, who is so wonderful, she thinks of things before I do and is just so good to work with. As busy as I am, I have really been thankful to have her! She was a gift actually from a very close friend, and I am so blessed to have her know me so well to know I am way too busy to have to keep up with all the wedding stuff on my own!
(If you are in Lexington and looking for the best wedding planner, message me and I will send you her info! You will love her I promise!)

We have booked a venue, a gorgeous farm in Versailles and I can not wait!

Booked the photographer ... none other than the amazing Alicia with Aesthetiica Photography and I am SOOO excited to get to work with her! Love her!! XO

Stuart and the boys at House will be doing our flowers ... duh, he's the best! ;)

I will be doing more updating and info on the wedding (which by the way is next JUNE!!) but you can also follow my wedding board on Pinterest where I have a million ideas pinned for a rustic, shabby chic outdoor wedding ;) So exciting!

Ok, let's see ... some other fun things that have happened in the last two months I have been MIA .... 

We did some fun Summer activities before school started back :)
Like this one where we put tape on a canvas in their initials, and then I let them paint all over them, then peeled off the tape to reveal a beautiful picture :) lol it was fun... as you can see Frankie was of course up in the mix the entire time!


Speaking of that sweet angel ... he had a birthday in July!
Frankie turned 4 :)


He wanted nothing to do with the fire on the candle and that is as close as he would get to it for a picture ha!
Also I am a horrible mom and let his birthday cookie melt in the car while I was in the mall :( lol



Checking out all his new toys :) 
(Yes I am crazy, yes I buy him a million new toys for his bday, he probably has more toys than most children, its sad ha!) 


The girls played dress up with Frankie for his birthday ... can't you tell he enjoyed it? lol
Especially the sunglasses!

Let's see ... what else did we do before school ...
we went to the Lego store in Cinci one day ... Jake was in there for like two hours ha it was so funny


We went to Kings Island one day ... they were wild!


We had crazy nail day ... and got manicures :)


Chris and I have visited our wedding venue a few times ... love it out there!


I have been crazy busy selling houses here in the Bluegrass region :)

Congratulations to these sweet people ...


Congratulations to the Monarchs ... they were so wonderful! They bought a new J.Moore Home and it was absolutely beautiful! Can't you tell just by the little pic of the kitchen? Ha! Thanks to them, and their Realtor who were all so great to work with! 


Also Congratulations to the Kunish family!!
They are from New Mexico, were referred to me to buy a home here in Lexington, and they were the best! So happy for them and know they will love it here in Lex! They also built a brand new home that turned out so nice! Could not have worked with a sweeter family than this one! :)

I have been to/hosted so many parties in the last two months you would die ha! 
So I am going to do a separate post tomorrow on some fun party ideas and have lots of pictures!!

But until then I will leave you with a few of my new favorite E-cards on this Monday :)  ...


I try to stay away from political things on here but this is too darn funny haha! sorrry :( 


Love this! 


Story of my life hahaha


I died when I read this, I want to frame it, I literally hate Crocs but suck it up because the kids like them at the beach and pool ha. 


Ha that is just funny 


LOL poor Chris ... this is us every time we eat out ha! 


This was my weekend ... lol ... as soon as I cleaned something up more stuff was right back out, gotta love it ;) 


My favorite haha that is so true! 


What would I do without the calculator on my phone? lol 


hahahahahaha this made my eyes water when I read it! If you know me, you know why haha! 


Lastly, how could you not love that? hahaha 

Well I am sorry for the long post but SOOOO happy to be back!!! 

If you want to do a guest post for me next week on what your favorite thing about your wedding was, and share a few pics, please email me!!! I thought it would be fun since I am all in the wedding zone! :) 
@ShastaAnne I really want you to little lady! Ha! I think I have seen one of your beautiful wedding pics before!!  

Missed Ya'll!!
XOXO
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Thursday, August 16, 2012

Skaneateles Real Estate - Summer Edition

Yes, it's been two very busy weeks for me, so I didn't do last week's blog update.  But it's summer, the days are winding down...no, I haven't been hanging out on my paddleboard at the lake, but I have been getting a couple very sweet new listings, one of which I will add to the update.


This is my new listing at 1020 Ten Mile Point, just south of Lourdes Camp.  Look at that beach!  It has 295 feet of level small rocks, two current docks, and a cottage up in the trees.  The price is $250,000 - and no, this is not a giveaway.  Contributing to the peace and quiet you see here is the limited accessibility - a good thing in this rush-around world!  No cars, no roads, no traffic.  Take a short boat ride or woodland path past other camps along the shoreline and find silence, only the lapping of the waves and the birds in the many trees.  You are truly away from it all, but only minutes to the Village.

So!  There are currently 117 other active listings in the Skaneateles area of the multiple listing service.  Of these, 27 are in the village and 29 are considered waterfront.  Eight are new, including Ten Mile Point.  A couple are re-lists, including the huge mansion at the Enclave on Route 20 - now priced at $500,000 for the house and over 24 acres.  There's another property with twice as much acreage, also in the town.  A good little ranch and pretty cape, both in the town,  came on the market over the past two weeks.  An under a million waterfront property completes the new homes.

And sure enough, four new properties came under contract.  All of them are outside of the village, and three of them hover around the $300,000 mark.  There are 32 altogether in this category, including the four new ones.

And more closed!  Five new ones!  We are up to 65 sold and closed homes for the year!  Three of them are in the village, to continue the 2012 theme of buying there.  They range in price from a low in the mid-$100,000 to a high close to $600,000.  The two in the town that closed were sold near their asking price.

We are on to something here - Skaneateles is going through a wonderful upsurge in real estate.  And why not?  It is a beautiful area, filled with beautiful homes, where prices have not fluctuated as they have in the rest of the country.  And rates - oh my!  One of my buyers got a 3.5% FHA mortgage just recently.  It makes a HUGE difference!  So buy now - please!  And you can start with my Ten Mile Point listing!


Thursday, August 9, 2012

Saundra Smokes

Saundra Smokes passed away unexpectedly on Wednesday in Syracuse.  She was a columnist for the Post-Standard for years, and only returned in May to write again in her hometown.  She was writing during the years before I tried to get my charter school off the ground, and she was an inspiration to me, pushing me (although she had no idea) to go out there and do things I never thought I could ever do.  But I should do them because I believed in them, no matter how hard.  Because it was the right thing to do.

I never wrote to her, as I had planned to do since her return.  I wanted to say thank you.

But this is a column she wrote that was hung up in my house on East Street in Skaneateles, and then made its way with me to Elbridge.  It resides on the back of the pantry door.  To remind me.

Put Resolve in Your Resolutions

One of my sister-friends and I were talking about the foolishness of making the same old New Year's resolutions.
I am going to lose weight.
I am going to get organized.
I am going to be on time.
I am going to exercise.
I am going to spend more time with my family.
I am going to learn a new skill.
And on and on.
Not that these goals are not worthy goals.
It's just that most of them are self-centered, and most of them keep finding their way on the list year after year - sometimes decade after decade.
What if - my sister-friend and I reasoned - what if all of us made new kinds of  resolutions?
Attitude resolutions.
Character resolutions.
Community resolutions.
We weren't talking about vague "I want to be a better person" or "I want to do more for my city" promises.
We meant specific, identifiable, reachable goals that would benefit others - loved ones,co-workers, neighbors.

What would have happened if, years ago, President Clinton had made a character resolution list and decided that he was no longer going to mess around on his wife, ignore his marriage vows, hurt his young daughter, jeopardize the office in which he was serving?
What if he had decided to deal with his lust problem and gotten some help to get himself in check?
Maybe we wouldn't be where we are at the moment - wrestling between censuring the man or putting him through a Senate trial to determine whether to remove him from office.
All of us have a list we can make that goes beyond giving up ice cream or reading more books.
Why can't people who have biting tongues make a point of controlling what comes out of their mouths?
What can't parents who holler and scream and say any old thing to their children resolve not to talk to their kids any old way?
Why can't bosses who think they know it all decide they don't, and listen to their employees?
Why can't employees resolve not to whine about everything?
Why can't the folks who are cheating on their loves resolve to stop lying and cheating and manipulating people?

Why can't those who are being cheated on , lied to and manipulated, resolve to stop the abuse or get help to stop the abuse?
Why can't family members who aren't speaking to each other resolve not to let another year go by without addressing whatever it is that is keeping them apart?
Why can't fathers resolve to acknowledge the children they pretend aren't theirs?
Why can't people in the caring and nurturing professions - doctors, nurses, teachers - resolve to treat all their patients and students with respect, affection and dignity?
Why can't neighbors resolve not to disturb the peace of the neighborhood by playing music too loudly or letting their dogs run loose?
Why can't people in the social services field resolve not to think of themselves too highly and forget that they may some day be where their "clients" are?
Why can't every person resolve to make a difference in the life of one child this year - by being a mentor, volunteering at a Boys and Girls Club or community center, becoming a Big Brother and Big Sister, joining an "Adopt a  School" program?

Why can't people resolve not to tell one racial joke, not to make on racial slur, not to contribute in any way to racial stereotyping or racist behavior?
Why can't customer service employees resolve to treat the public the way they would like to be treated?
Why can't companies resolve to truly assess the working conditions of their employees?
Why can't lawmakers resolve that every person in this nation will have a health-care plan as good as the one the lawmakers have?
Why can't lawmakers resolve that every child will get the kind of education their children are getting?
Why can't parents resolve to keep abreast of what is happening with their child in school?
Why can't parents resolve to not let the schools raise their children?
Why can't people resolve not to have to be motivated by the holidays to reach out to the needy?

Why can't the folks who want to lose weight resolve to give the money they would have spent on cookies, doughnuts and lunches that could pass for dinners, to charity?
Why can't people who are always stirring things up, always gossiping, always trying to cause trouble, simply stop it?
Why can't we all put some resolve in our resolutions?

I will miss her column, and miss her.

Wednesday, August 8, 2012

The Third Twenty

Amazing.  Just amazing - that there could be so much activity this very hot summer.  With no rational reason for this order:

1711 Borodino Bluffs - Town of Spafford - $921,500

1541 East Lake Road - Town of Spafford - $284,000

1 Elson Lane - Village of Skaneateles - $140,000

1012 Butters Farm - Town of Skaneateles - $600,000

3332 Kane Avenue - Town of Skaneateles - $217,500

1721 Lancelot Place - Town of Skaneateles - $159,000

8 Goodspeed Place - Village of Skaneateles - $300,000

205 Hemlock Hollow - Town of Niles - $458,000

887 West Elizabeth Street - Town of Skaneateles - $245,000

82 State Street - Village of Skaneateles - $300,000

10 Fuller Street - Village of Skaneateles - $263,000

2155 Singing Woods - Town of Spafford - $544,000

6787 Glen Haven Road - Town of Sempronius - $110,000

1760 Tamarack Trail - Town of Skaneateles - $1,225,000

3130 East Lake Road - Town of Skaneateles - $234,000

160 East Genesee Street - Village of Skaneateles - $210,000

5 Ramble Wood Drive - Village of Skaneateles - $540,000

60 Calemad Drive - Town of Sennett - $436,000

26 East Lake Street - Village of Skaneateles - $279,000

33 Calemad Drive - Town of Sennett - $428,000

Thursday, August 2, 2012

Skaneateles Real Estate - The Weekly Update

The moon rose last night over the lake.  It's a blue moon - or rather, the first full moon in the month of August and there will be another at the end, I guess making that the actual blue moon.  I learned that the cycle between full moons is 29.5 days, which explains why it isn't the same day every year, every month.  The moon slipped in and out of the pink clouds, at times totally obscured.  We watched from our deck with guests there for dinner - and the light show!

What a summer!  Both for weather and for real estate.

There are currently 119 active listings in the Skaneateles area of the multiple listing service.  Of these, 26 are in the village and 30 are waterfront.  Three homes were re-listed this past week, each with significant reductions in price.  Four others came on the market - a little bit of everything: new construction, almost new construction, a ranch down the lake, and a sweet Village home.

The already contracted houses number 34, just waiting to close.  Three more were added to the list - one in the village, and two others in the town.  These were higher priced homes, too, ranging between $300,000 and $400,000 for list prices.

And now the Big News!  We have reached another milestone for the year.  SIXTY!  Sixty homes have closed year-to-date in Skaneateles.  Three new homes were added to bring it to this number - village, near-village, and a house in the town with acreage.  The price-point on these was around $200,000.  But SIXTY!  

Why such a big deal?  In both 2010 and 2011 at this time there were only 38 houses that had closed.  In 2009 there were 46.  Last year it took us until November 15th - another 3.5 months - to get to 60.  That's why.  Whether its pent-up need or great rates (I saw a flyer for 3.25% for a 30-year fixed FHA loan!) or this gorgeous weather or good prices on these homes - let the analysts argue the reason.  I just love it!

Again - if you are thinking of buying or selling - do it now!